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Há 5 dias · July 12, 2024 Toby Ord In the years since I wrote The Precipice , the question I’m asked most is how the risks have changed. It’s now almost four years since the book came out, but the text has to be locked down a long time earlier, so we are really coming up on about five years of changes to the risk landscape.
Há 3 dias · GWWC was founded in 2009 by Toby Ord, who lives on £18,000 ($27,000) per year and donates the balance of his income. In 2020, Ord said that people had donated over $100 million to date through the GWWC pledge.
Há 1 dia · The Oxford researcher Toby Ord asserts in his 2020 book The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity that ‘safeguarding humanity’s future is the defining challenge of our time.’ Ord offers a refined definition of existential risks as ‘risks that threaten the destruction of humanity’s longterm potential.’
Há 3 dias · As Toby Ord writes in The Precipice, you can find academic philosophers willing to take either side of virtually any issue, but practically none ready to defend a social discount rate. It’s hard to argue that an 80-year life beginning in 1970 is intrinsically more valuable than one that started in 1980.
Há 4 dias · This can be done in several ways; the following will be based on the work of Toby Ord . The simplest bound is based on the observation that H. sapiens has existed for 200,000 years: this observation would be unlikely if the extinction risk was higher than about 1 in 3,000 per century.
Há 1 dia · In his 2020 book The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity, Toby Ord described the concept of a “Long Reflection:” “If we steer humanity to a place of safety, we will have time to think.
Há 1 dia · Enrico Fermi (1901–1954) The Fermi paradox is a conflict between the argument that scale and probability seem to favor intelligent life being common in the universe, and the total lack of evidence of intelligent life having ever arisen anywhere other than on Earth. The first aspect of the Fermi paradox is a function of the scale or the large ...
